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Red26
99926.5
997314.5
999710.3
Blue97
97725.7
997821.5
572442.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381000501502002697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9973
#24DQ
14.50.6
15.915.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End3.9
blue by 27.7
42.20.3
42.943.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End8.2
Second
9997
#12
10.30.6
9.38.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.4
End5.1
blue by 15.4
977
#6
25.70.3
24.424.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Third
9992
#15
6.50.6
6.35.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 15.0
9978
#25DQ
21.50.4
20.821.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned