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Red1
40144.2
572442.2
999912.1
Blue0
997314.5
997211.8
99746.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251905010015020010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
44.22.3
45.142.9
Auto12.7
Teleop27.0
End3.6
red by 29.7
9973
#24
14.51.3
16.915.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Second
42.22.3
43.140.9
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End8.2
red by 30.4
9972
#21
11.81.3
14.212.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Third
9999
#17
12.13.5
13.610.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.1
red by 6.1
9974
#19
6.01.5
8.87.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End2.2