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Red60
314030.9
97725.7
999710.3
Blue42
126214.8
999820.7
99918.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834801001506042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.1
29.929.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End8.4
red by 10.2
20.70.2
21.921.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Second
977
#6
25.70.1
24.724.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.6
End7.8
red by 10.9
1262
#10
14.80.1
15.615.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Third
9997
#12
10.30.1
8.78.6
Auto0.9
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 1.6
9991
#13
8.70.2
9.99.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End3.5