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Red85
680239.8
61720.4
61125.5
Blue116
580454.2
299815.9
572437.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771135010015085116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#12
39.80.2
33.533.7
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
blue by 14.3
54.21.0
51.152.1
Auto14.1
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Second
611
#29
25.50.2
20.921.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End5.7
blue by 11.8
5724
#11
37.31.0
32.033.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.7
End6.9
Third
617
#16
20.40.2
22.622.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End6.2
red by 4.5
2998
#25
15.91.0
18.519.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned