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Red151
44940.3
40151.4
42249.5
Blue49
688214.1
61922.7
742920.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14147010020015149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#8
51.41.7
45.947.7
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 28.6
619
#30
22.71.8
21.319.5
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0
Second
422
#4
49.51.7
39.040.8
Auto14.0
Teleop28.5
End7.0
red by 29.4
7429
#33
20.11.8
23.021.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End5.2
Third
449
#9
40.31.7
35.337.0
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.6
red by 26.2
6882
#20
14.11.8
11.49.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed