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Red49
299815.9
97729.5
152217.7
Blue39
61922.7
859022.0
524318.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7762020401001201404939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#10
29.51.4
28.126.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.3
End7.6
red by 6.8
619
#30
22.71.7
19.517.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.1
End5.0
Second
1522
#37
17.71.4
22.821.4
Auto7.7
Teleop2.2
End7.8
blue by 4.3
8590
#28
22.01.7
19.017.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Third
2998
#25
15.91.4
19.518.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 3.1
5243
#36
18.91.7
21.319.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed