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Red106
580454.2
428615.1
289015.5
Blue114
44940.3
61227.3
40422.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85976080120140106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.21.3
53.554.8
Auto14.1
Teleop33.4
End6.5
red by 13.9
449
#9
40.30.6
38.038.6
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.6
Second
2890
#34
15.51.3
15.416.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
blue by 11.8
612
#14
27.30.6
27.528.1
Auto10.5
Teleop9.7
End7.1
Third
4286
#39
15.11.3
12.613.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.0
End3.3
blue by 7.6
404
#22
22.70.6
24.124.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned