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Red130
42249.5
680239.8
298816.2
Blue152
210638.7
900316.5
161032.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10988406080100120140160180130152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
49.50.9
43.844.7
Auto14.0
Teleop28.5
End7.0
red by 10.8
38.70.2
38.138.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End8.9
Second
6802
#12
39.80.9
35.035.9
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
red by 7.3
1610
#17
32.60.2
31.531.7
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End5.9
Third
2988
#18
16.20.9
20.821.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 0.4
9003
#38
16.50.2
15.715.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsEarned