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Red46
299815.9
900316.5
40422.7
Blue99
580454.2
33920.6
97729.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4912301001504699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
404
#22
22.71.6
23.822.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.7
End2.9
blue by 31.4
54.21.2
55.954.8
Auto14.1
Teleop33.4
End6.5
Second
9003
#38
16.51.6
16.314.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 13.0
977
#10
29.51.2
28.927.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.3
End7.6
Third
2998
#25
15.91.6
15.013.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 4.8
339
#31
20.61.2
21.520.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed