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Red127
54017.1
393932.4
42249.5
Blue83
428615.1
742920.1
447240.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977720406012014012783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
49.52.6
47.149.6
Auto14.0
Teleop28.5
End7.0
red by 8.8
4472
#15
40.70.6
40.441.0
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End6.4
Second
3939
#13
32.42.6
27.229.8
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 12.3
7429
#33
20.10.6
19.219.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End5.2
Third
540
#21
17.12.6
14.416.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 2.0
4286
#39
15.10.6
15.115.7
Auto0.9
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed