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Red131
54017.1
42249.5
112346.9
Blue153
40151.4
38453.1
61125.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013880100160180200131153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
49.50.3
50.150.4
Auto14.0
Teleop28.5
End7.0
blue by 3.6
384
#3
53.10.6
53.253.8
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Second
46.90.3
47.547.8
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End7.3
blue by 4.5
401
#8
51.40.6
51.552.1
Auto14.5
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Third
540
#21
17.10.3
16.917.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 8.4
611
#29
25.50.6
25.626.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End5.7