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Red139
152217.7
210638.7
580454.2
Blue78
159946.5
447240.7
618926.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11812540608010014016018013978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.20.3
54.554.9
Auto14.1
Teleop33.4
End6.5
red by 7.7
46.51.1
47.646.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.9
End9.4
Second
38.70.3
39.139.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End8.9
blue by 2.0
4472
#15
40.71.1
41.840.7
Auto12.4
Teleop21.5
End6.4
Third
1522
#37
17.70.3
18.118.4
Auto7.7
Teleop2.2
End7.8
blue by 8.5
6189
#32
26.21.1
27.326.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End5.6