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Red113
108618.0
44940.3
34640.9
Blue97
97729.5
680239.8
299815.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109875010015011397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#6
40.90.2
40.940.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.7
End7.7
red by 1.1
6802
#12
39.80.3
39.639.8
Auto13.1
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Second
449
#9
40.30.2
40.340.1
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.6
red by 10.8
977
#10
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto10.6
Teleop11.3
End7.6
Third
1086
#19
18.00.2
18.017.9
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End8.9
red by 2.2
2998
#25
15.90.3
15.615.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End1.8