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Red103
179316.7
313635.0
159941.9
Blue81
450516.2
12228.8
428610.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10451015010381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.3
40.741.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 13.1
122
#8
28.80.4
28.528.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End8.3
Second
35.00.3
33.834.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.6
red by 18.8
4505
#17
16.20.4
15.816.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.6
End6.3
Third
1793
#23
16.70.3
16.016.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
red by 6.4
4286
#20
10.30.4
9.910.3
Auto1.0
Teleop5.7
End3.7