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Red91
862211.2
161030.8
202833.0
Blue80
619425.7
832623.4
33597.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8155020401001201401609180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.4
32.332.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End5.1
red by 7.3
6194
#19
25.70.5
25.125.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End5.5
Second
1610
#14
30.80.4
30.030.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
red by 7.4
8326
#11
23.40.5
22.823.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
8622
#13
11.20.4
10.410.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End4.6
red by 3.3
3359
#25
7.90.5
7.37.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End3.4