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Red105
179316.7
313635.0
159941.9
Blue61
619425.7
832623.4
33597.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10451015010561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.3
40.741.1
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 16.2
6194
#19
25.70.1
25.025.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.3
End5.5
Second
35.00.3
33.934.2
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.6
red by 11.6
8326
#11
23.40.1
22.722.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
1793
#23
16.70.3
16.016.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.4
red by 8.9
3359
#25
7.90.1
7.27.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End3.4