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Red111
190833.4
595412.9
38436.8
Blue66
61718.9
618927.7
40419.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857020406010012014011166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#5
36.80.8
35.135.9
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
red by 9.1
6189
#10
27.70.2
28.428.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.5
End6.8
Second
33.40.7
31.932.6
Auto10.8
Teleop13.7
End8.9
red by 14.1
404
#21
19.40.2
20.019.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Third
5954
#24
12.90.7
11.412.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.9
blue by 5.9
617
#9
18.90.2
19.619.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End4.9