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Red64
479546.9
33598.9
313633.6
Blue78
34633.1
33914.6
83650.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410360801201406478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#16
46.92.2
49.347.1
Auto12.3
Teleop25.7
End9.0
blue by 3.3
836
#8
50.31.5
48.747.2
Auto13.0
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Second
3136
#13
33.62.2
34.732.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.7
End6.0
red by 0.5
346
#17
33.11.5
36.535.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End5.2
Third
3359
#19
8.92.2
8.26.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 5.8
339
#25
14.61.5
15.413.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsMissed