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Red84
62342.4
99994.5
236362.3
Blue103
159940.3
43517.9
999522.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377305010015020084103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#10
62.32.5
64.862.2
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.0
red by 22.0
40.31.2
34.836.0
Auto14.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Second
623
#3
42.42.5
40.538.0
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End9.6
red by 19.7
22.82.1
20.822.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End6.5
Third
9999
#24
4.54.2
11.57.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End2.8
blue by 13.5
435
#23
17.91.2
18.820.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned