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Red114
997719.0
997515.9
264260.1
Blue126
210635.3
373726.5
42253.7
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65135050100150200250114126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.4
58.660.0
Auto16.3
Teleop34.4
End8.5
red by 6.4
422
#4
53.70.4
51.851.4
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End6.0
Second
9977
#27
19.02.3
14.817.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End4.8
blue by 16.3
2106
#20
35.30.4
41.541.1
Auto6.4
Teleop20.9
End7.8
Third
9975
#22
15.92.3
9.812.1
Auto0.7
Teleop9.5
End6.0
blue by 10.6
26.50.4
23.723.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed