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Red66
43517.9
289010.6
479546.9
Blue158
236362.3
580450.3
373726.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7714905010020025066158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#16
46.90.9
46.845.9
Auto12.3
Teleop25.7
End9.0
blue by 15.4
2363
#10
62.30.9
62.963.8
Auto14.7
Teleop37.5
End8.0
Second
435
#23
17.90.9
19.518.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End6.5
blue by 32.3
50.30.9
47.448.4
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End8.0
Third
2890
#26
10.60.9
13.212.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 15.9
26.50.9
24.225.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned