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Red52
33914.6
12234.2
99827.2
Blue64
99994.5
33598.9
42253.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578201001502005264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#15
34.20.4
35.334.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End8.4
blue by 19.5
422
#4
53.70.1
52.552.6
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End6.0
Second
339
#25
14.60.4
15.415.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.4
End7.2
red by 5.8
3359
#19
8.90.1
8.28.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.0
End3.6
Third
9982
#28
7.20.7
7.97.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.7
End3.5
red by 2.7
9999
#24
4.50.1
2.12.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed