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Red70
62342.4
159940.3
33914.6
Blue87
62022.3
373726.5
12234.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122770501001502007087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#3
42.42.5
45.142.6
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End9.6
red by 8.2
122
#15
34.20.6
38.739.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End8.4
Second
40.32.5
41.739.3
Auto14.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
red by 13.8
26.50.6
19.219.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.8
End7.1
Third
339
#25
14.62.5
20.618.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.4
End7.2
blue by 7.6
620
#12
22.30.6
19.920.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned