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Red84
999522.8
40143.7
99994.5
Blue85
202833.1
313633.6
210635.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821410501002002508485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#14
43.70.2
44.244.4
Auto11.5
Teleop27.0
End4.6
red by 8.3
2106
#20
35.32.5
46.544.0
Auto6.4
Teleop20.9
End7.8
Second
22.80.3
21.421.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End6.5
blue by 10.8
3136
#13
33.62.5
34.031.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.7
End6.0
Third
9999
#24
4.50.3
15.315.6
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End2.8
blue by 28.7
2028
#21
33.12.5
42.539.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed