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Red58
61920.2
43517.9
34633.1
Blue52
99827.2
161034.2
997719.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965601502005852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#17
33.11.7
40.338.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End5.2
blue by 1.1
1610
#11
34.21.4
37.335.9
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End5.9
Second
619
#6
20.21.7
22.420.7
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End5.4
red by 1.2
9977
#27
19.02.3
19.717.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End4.8
Third
435
#23
17.91.7
20.518.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End6.5
red by 10.7
9982
#28
7.22.3
15.413.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed