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Red147
358822.7
204669.3
413143.2
Blue90
762751.1
339318.6
326815.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13654010015020014790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.31.7
56.658.2
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End7.9
red by 18.2
51.12.0
40.942.8
Auto13.2
Teleop28.8
End9.1
Second
4131
#11
43.21.7
42.944.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 24.6
3393
#29
18.62.0
10.512.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End5.7
Third
3588
#17
22.71.7
17.919.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 7.3
3268
#15
15.32.0
9.311.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned