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Red49
838613.4
830217.8
418019.9
Blue71
298023.0
830316.5
582725.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47700204060801001201404971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#28
19.91.2
18.917.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 5.6
5827
#27
25.50.2
26.827.0
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.2
Second
8302
#23
17.81.2
13.712.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
blue by 5.2
23.00.2
18.618.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End7.9
Third
8386
#31
13.41.2
14.213.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End5.5
blue by 3.1
8303
#16
16.50.2
17.017.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned