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Red148
321925.7
446938.2
204669.3
Blue19
889613.7
358822.7
529529.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11450010015014819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.32.5
58.260.7
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End7.9
red by 39.9
5295
#25
29.42.8
23.821.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Second
38.22.5
26.228.6
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End4.4
red by 15.5
3588
#17
22.72.8
19.616.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Third
3219
#12
25.72.5
14.717.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End6.7
red by 11.9
8896
#30
13.72.8
11.99.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned13%Activation oddsMissed