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Red40
339318.6
255726.7
830316.5
Blue42
830217.8
326815.3
803223.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642020801001204042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.4
21.420.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End8.5
red by 3.2
8032
#21
23.50.0
17.717.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Second
3393
#29
18.61.4
12.511.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End5.7
red by 0.7
8302
#23
17.80.0
12.512.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
Third
8303
#16
16.51.4
17.215.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End5.0
red by 1.1
3268
#15
15.30.0
11.311.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed4%Activation oddsMissed