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Red49
292917.2
457920.9
339318.6
Blue117
830316.5
838613.4
204669.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3510805015049117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4579
#24
20.90.4
18.018.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End5.1
blue by 48.4
69.31.0
61.362.3
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End7.9
Second
3393
#29
18.60.4
11.011.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End5.7
red by 2.1
8303
#16
16.51.0
16.517.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Third
2929
#26
17.20.4
13.413.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End5.9
red by 3.9
8386
#31
13.41.0
14.515.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned