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Red92
889613.7
446938.2
582725.5
Blue122
607617.1
321925.7
413143.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66790204010012014092122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.21.5
29.831.3
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End4.4
blue by 4.9
4131
#11
43.21.5
44.145.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Second
5827
#27
25.51.5
25.326.9
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.2
blue by 0.2
3219
#12
25.71.5
17.218.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End6.7
Third
8896
#30
13.71.5
8.710.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End3.7
blue by 3.4
6076
#14
17.11.5
10.912.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned