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Red119
290615.6
803223.5
131856.1
Blue48
378613.5
413143.2
830316.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100785015011948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.7
54.154.8
Auto15.4
Teleop32.0
End8.5
red by 12.9
4131
#11
43.21.9
42.640.7
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Second
8032
#21
23.50.7
22.823.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 7.1
8303
#16
16.51.9
17.815.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End5.0
Third
2906
#18
15.60.9
14.415.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End7.7
red by 2.1
3786
#19
13.51.9
15.613.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed