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Red102
568322.3
582725.5
762751.1
Blue119
418019.9
204669.3
290726.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612350150102119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.6
48.849.3
Auto13.2
Teleop28.8
End9.1
blue by 18.2
69.30.2
66.766.9
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End7.9
Second
5827
#27
25.50.6
24.725.3
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.2
blue by 0.6
2907
#13
26.10.2
25.425.5
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End8.7
Third
5683
#22
22.30.6
20.020.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End7.0
red by 2.3
4180
#28
19.90.2
19.619.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned