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Red64
418019.9
290615.6
568322.3
Blue124
446938.2
292917.2
491536.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539915064124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5683
#22
22.30.2
20.520.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End7.0
blue by 15.9
38.21.6
36.938.5
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End4.4
Second
4180
#28
19.90.2
19.719.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.8
End4.8
blue by 16.3
36.21.6
34.936.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.9
End9.3
Third
2906
#18
15.60.3
15.315.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End7.7
blue by 1.7
2929
#26
17.21.6
15.617.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned