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Red125
762751.1
321925.7
830316.5
Blue143
255726.7
366353.2
413143.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8913050100150200125143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.3
49.350.6
Auto13.2
Teleop28.8
End9.1
blue by 2.1
53.21.0
50.751.7
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End7.8
Second
3219
#12
25.71.3
23.424.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End6.7
blue by 17.5
4131
#11
43.21.0
40.741.7
Auto13.5
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Third
8303
#16
16.51.3
15.917.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End5.0
blue by 10.2
26.71.0
25.126.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned