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Red100
803223.5
491536.2
446938.2
Blue103
255726.7
298023.0
339318.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116250100150100103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End4.4
red by 11.5
26.70.7
25.526.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End8.5
Second
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.9
End9.3
red by 13.2
23.00.7
21.822.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End7.9
Third
8032
#21
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 5.0
3393
#29
18.60.7
17.418.1
Auto6.4
Teleop6.5
End5.7