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Red164
568322.3
204669.3
366353.2
Blue130
131856.1
762751.1
378613.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812050100200250164130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.3
68.869.2
Auto15.5
Teleop45.8
End7.9
red by 13.2
56.10.2
55.155.3
Auto15.4
Teleop32.0
End8.5
Second
53.20.3
52.753.1
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End7.8
red by 2.1
51.10.2
50.150.3
Auto13.2
Teleop28.8
End9.1
Third
5683
#22
22.30.3
21.822.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.2
End7.0
red by 8.8
3786
#19
13.50.2
12.812.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.1