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Red109
252239.3
177835.2
339313.5
Blue91
889610.5
468117.9
293051.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90856010012014010991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.6
37.938.5
Auto12.5
Teleop18.0
End8.9
blue by 11.7
51.00.1
51.451.5
Auto14.8
Teleop28.7
End7.4
Second
35.20.6
33.734.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.1
End7.6
red by 17.2
4681
#22
17.90.1
18.318.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.8
End7.2
Third
3393
#30
13.50.6
11.912.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.8
red by 3.1
8896
#26
10.50.1
10.310.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End5.1