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Red124
293051.0
468117.9
204656.2
Blue119
366339.1
321848.1
129416.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010550150200124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.1
56.856.7
Auto14.7
Teleop35.1
End6.5
red by 8.1
48.10.1
48.048.1
Auto13.6
Teleop26.2
End8.4
Second
51.00.1
51.451.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 11.9
39.10.1
38.939.1
Auto8.3
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Third
4681
#22
17.90.1
18.318.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.8
End7.2
red by 1.9
1294
#24
16.10.1
15.916.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8