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Red108
129416.1
321848.1
366339.1
Blue86
198337.4
94821.8
593725.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113885010015020010886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.1
47.948.0
Auto13.6
Teleop26.2
End8.4
red by 10.8
37.40.2
37.637.4
Auto11.6
Teleop19.1
End6.6
Second
39.10.1
38.838.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.5
End7.3
red by 13.5
5937
#18
25.60.2
25.825.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.8
End7.1
Third
1294
#24
16.10.1
15.815.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
blue by 5.7
948
#21
21.80.2
22.021.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8