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Red110
293051.0
468117.9
204656.2
Blue122
252239.3
177835.2
339313.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1457850100200110122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.4
57.256.8
Auto14.7
Teleop35.1
End6.5
red by 16.9
39.30.7
37.237.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.0
End8.9
Second
51.00.4
51.851.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 15.9
35.20.7
33.033.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.1
End7.6
Third
4681
#22
17.90.4
18.718.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.8
End7.2
red by 4.4
3393
#30
13.50.8
11.211.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.8