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Red85
358818.2
593725.6
558823.6
Blue78
290722.8
255722.9
339313.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594702040801001208578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#18
25.62.3
21.924.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.8
End7.1
red by 2.7
2557
#11
22.91.9
21.723.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End7.5
Second
5588
#20
23.61.4
18.920.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End7.7
red by 0.8
22.81.9
17.819.7
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.2
Third
18.22.3
13.115.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End4.9
red by 4.6
3393
#30
13.51.9
6.48.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsEarned