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Red100
902319.8
378613.2
321848.1
Blue52
198337.4
830212.1
457918.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7370405060809010011010052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.11.8
44.346.1
Auto13.6
Teleop26.2
End8.4
red by 10.8
37.41.5
30.829.3
Auto11.6
Teleop19.1
End6.6
Second
9023
#17
19.83.0
15.918.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End6.3
red by 1.3
4579
#13
18.51.5
20.719.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End3.6
Third
3786
#28
13.23.0
8.011.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End5.1
red by 1.1
8302
#31
12.11.5
14.312.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed