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Red102
378613.2
293051.0
902319.8
Blue88
129416.1
252239.3
292911.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9155020408010012014010288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.1
50.351.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.7
End7.4
red by 11.7
39.31.8
34.135.9
Auto12.5
Teleop18.0
End8.9
Second
9023
#17
19.81.2
18.519.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End6.3
red by 3.7
1294
#24
16.12.0
13.115.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.8
Third
3786
#28
13.21.3
11.913.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End5.1
red by 2.1
2929
#29
11.12.0
9.111.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned