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Red133
568315.7
204656.2
198337.4
Blue83
290722.8
558823.6
446924.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119645010015013383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.6
55.156.7
Auto14.7
Teleop35.1
End6.5
red by 31.3
4469
#19
24.91.3
23.424.7
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Second
37.41.9
35.537.5
Auto11.6
Teleop19.1
End6.6
red by 13.8
5588
#20
23.61.1
22.523.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End7.7
Third
5683
#16
15.71.7
13.715.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End7.7
blue by 7.1
22.81.3
20.822.2
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned