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Red99
49233.6
408931.5
558826.5
Blue117
593721.5
36043.5
446935.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969440608012099117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#16
33.61.2
33.334.5
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End6.3
blue by 10.0
360
#3
43.50.4
41.241.6
Auto11.7
Teleop25.0
End7.1
Second
31.51.2
25.726.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
blue by 3.5
4469
#20
35.00.4
29.630.0
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Third
26.51.2
22.123.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End8.7
red by 5.0
5937
#17
21.50.4
23.223.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed