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Red84
413135.1
94833.5
131842.3
Blue129
568318.5
291065.1
298021.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121105020030040050084129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.8
41.439.6
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
blue by 22.8
65.11.6
66.267.8
Auto14.8
Teleop42.2
End5.9
Second
4131
#21
35.11.8
41.739.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.7
red by 14.1
2980
#14
21.01.6
19.921.5
Auto8.3
Teleop6.2
End6.8
Third
948
#10
33.51.8
27.926.1
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End5.8
red by 14.9
5683
#11
18.51.6
18.620.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned