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Red53
131842.3
198329.9
49233.6
Blue94
241245.6
129416.5
408931.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421070502002503005394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.34.9
49.444.5
Auto12.8
Teleop22.3
End6.5
blue by 3.3
45.61.3
53.952.5
Auto13.8
Teleop23.6
End8.1
Second
492
#16
33.64.9
38.833.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End6.3
red by 2.1
31.51.3
26.024.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
Third
1983
#15
29.94.9
40.435.5
Auto11.9
Teleop11.0
End7.3
red by 13.4
1294
#25
16.51.3
22.020.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned