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Red38
593721.5
824817.0
903617.9
Blue59
635010.8
902324.6
378610.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715001001503859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#17
21.52.0
26.624.5
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 3.1
9023
#19
24.60.7
27.828.5
Auto11.2
Teleop7.6
End6.1
Second
9036
#27
17.92.0
17.315.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End5.7
red by 7.0
3786
#24
10.90.7
11.111.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.4
End5.0
Third
8248
#30
17.02.0
19.717.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End4.8
red by 6.2
6350
#32
10.80.7
10.010.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned