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Red79
568318.5
593721.5
49233.6
Blue111
446935.0
94833.5
824817.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798405010015020079111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#16
33.60.1
33.433.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.0
End6.3
blue by 1.5
4469
#20
35.00.7
32.733.5
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Second
5937
#17
21.50.1
21.421.5
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 12.0
948
#10
33.50.7
31.231.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End5.8
Third
5683
#11
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End5.9
red by 1.5
8248
#30
17.00.7
14.715.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End4.8